Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JOYCE-12 Off-shore from 23 Aug 2012 15:00 UTC to 24 Aug 2012 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-12

Off-shore

24 Aug 2012 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (24 Aug 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 66000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Aug 2012 15:00	111	No people	No people
2	22 Aug 2012 21:00	111	No people	No people
3	23 Aug 2012 03:00	93	No people	No people
4	23 Aug 2012 09:00	84	No people	No people	Bermuda
5	23 Aug 2012 15:00	93	No people	No people
6	23 Aug 2012 21:00	101	No people	No people
7	24 Aug 2012 03:00	93	No people	No people	Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	8/22/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.4, -36.3
2	8/22/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.1, -37.4
3	8/23/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.8, -39.5
4	8/23/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.5, -40.6
5	8/23/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	15.2, -42.2
6	8/23/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	15.9, -42.5
7	8/24/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.3, -43.7
7	8/24/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.4, -46
7	8/25/2012	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.9, -48.9
7	8/25/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.7, -52.2
7	8/26/2012	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.8, -55.5
7	8/27/2012	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	27, -62	Bermuda
7	8/28/2012	Tropical storm	84	no people	66000 people	31.5, -64.5	Bermuda
7	8/29/2012	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	36, -58

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Bermuda	Bermuda

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hamilton		Bermuda	Capital	<1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Colonia do Pescadores, Brazil. This height is estimated for 24 Aug 2012 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 24 Aug 2012 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Aug 2012 04:00	Colonia do Pescadores	Brazil	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.